Last week, the only mid-level quarterback to get paid was Joe Burrow. He led all positions in fantasy points (35.50), while Ja’Marr Chase (35.20) was second. Two other quarterback/wide receiver combinations also ranked in the top 10 (Josh Allen – 30.65 and Stefon Diggs – 33.80, plus Matt Ryan – 31.45 and Michael Pittman Jr. – 29.40), showing the value of having an elite connection in everyday games. Therefore, when thinking about your starting quarterback for your DFS roster, identifying the wide receiver with the highest ceiling each week is key.
Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals (DraftKings – $6,900 / FanDuel – $8,300)
Six weeks into this season, the Bengals have played four games on the road while failing to hit their stride in the passing game due to issues with their offensive line (19 sacks and just 3.5 yards per carry) . Burrow is on pace for 4,890 combined yards and 40 touchdowns. He averages 7.1 yards per pass attempt (8.9 in 2021). Last week, Burrow posted his best game (325/4) of the year. The Falcons are 25th against quarterbacks (22.49 FPPG), with five teams scoring over 20.00 fantasy points. Atlanta has just eight sacks (none in the past two weeks). Wide receivers already have eight touchdowns with a high catch rate (65.7). Burrow looks set to build on his success in this game.
Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (DraftKings – $6,300 / FanDuel – $7,400)
Over the past four games, Brady has attempted 46.5 passes, leading for 1,250 yards, six touchdowns and no interceptions. Unfortunately, he averaged just 6.7 yards per pass attempt during that span. The Bucs’ struggles in pass protection have led Brady to feature running back over the past three weeks (12/107/1, 13/111/1 and 9/49/1 on 38 targets). Last year, he played well at home (326/3) against the Panthers while struggling in Carolina (232/1). The Panthers slipped to 13th against quarterbacks (18.28 FPPG) while having a favorable passing schedule (CLE, NYG, NO, ARI, SF and LAR). Tampa needs to create a longer passing window for Brady to capitalize on their advantage at wide receiver. With 300 passing yards and two touchdowns, he will at least be in the game for his salary in the daily space.
Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (DraftKings – $6,700 / FanDuel – $7,500)
The Cowboys expect to start Prescott after missing five weeks with a thumb injury. Over the past five weeks, Dallas has gone 4-1 while playing great defense, leading to low production in the passing game (956/5 – 28.6 passes per game). The Lions have the second-worst defense against quarterbacks (25.62 FPPG) due to a loss in three games (333/1, 360/3 and 363/3). Detroit has significant risk defending the rush (153/838/9 – 5.5 yards per carry), pointing to plenty of Dallas runs. Prescott needs the Lions offense to solve the Cowboys defense and force him to pitch. Prescott is probably more of a joker until he shows success on the court.